Dr. Marco Fiad’s discovery of the unexpected trajectory anomaly in 3I/Atlas has sent ripples through the astronomical community, challenging long-held assumptions about interstellar objects passing through our solar system.

When 3I/Atlas was first detected in May 2024, it was initially considered just another interstellar visitor, expected to follow a predictable path governed primarily by the sun’s gravity.

Previous interstellar objects, such as ‘Oumuamua in 2017 and 2I/Borisov in 2019, had shown slight deviations from their predicted trajectories, which were convincingly explained by outgassing—the release of gas jets from sublimating ice acting like tiny thrusters.

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This explanation fit well with observed cometary behavior and was supported by visible comas and brightness fluctuations.

However, by October 2024, Dr. Fiad noticed something peculiar.

The trajectory data for 3I/Atlas consistently diverged from predictions, not by a large margin but enough to be statistically significant and persistent.

This wasn’t a case of measurement error or instrument malfunction; multiple observatories confirmed the anomaly independently.

The object was drifting in a way that standard orbital mechanics could not fully explain.

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Scientists first revisited gravitational influences.

The sun’s gravity, along with perturbations from Jupiter, Saturn, and other planets, was modeled with high precision.

While these factors accounted for some deviation, they fell short of explaining the full extent of 3I/Atlas’s path shift.

The gravitational pull from smaller bodies and the sun’s oblateness were also considered, but again, the numbers didn’t add up completely.

Attention then turned to non-gravitational forces.

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Outgassing was the most natural candidate, but the evidence was puzzling.

Unlike typical comets, 3I/Atlas showed little to no visible coma or significant brightness changes indicative of active gas jets.

Spectroscopic data revealed only faint traces of water vapor and carbon monoxide, insufficient to produce the measured acceleration.

The possibility of hidden jets—gas emissions from regions not visible from Earth due to rotation or orientation—was proposed, inspired by detailed studies of comet 67P by the Rosetta mission, which revealed highly localized and anisotropic outgassing.

Yet, no direct confirmation was possible.

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Radiation pressure, the force exerted by sunlight’s photons, was another hypothesis.

While radiation pressure is a well-understood phenomenon, capable of subtly pushing objects with large surface-area-to-mass ratios, calculations showed that for 3I/Atlas, radiation pressure alone would require the object to be either extraordinarily light or possess an enormous reflective surface—neither of which matched observational data.

The idea of a debris cloud or fragmentation increasing effective surface area was also considered but lacked definitive evidence.

An intriguing alternative was internal fracturing.

Space is harsh, and objects like 3I/Atlas endure extreme thermal stresses and radiation exposure during their journey.

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Gradual cracking and shedding of material could produce small thrusts and alter the trajectory subtly.

This theory aligned with observed minor brightness fluctuations and possible faint debris trails, though these signs were ambiguous and inconclusive.

While these theories competed, the notion of dark matter influencing the trajectory briefly surfaced.

Dark matter, an invisible form of matter detectable only through gravitational effects on galactic scales, was proposed as a local clump exerting extra pull on 3I/Atlas.

However, this idea faced significant skepticism because dark matter is not known to cluster on such small scales, and no anomalies in spacecraft or planetary orbits supported its presence nearby.

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The dark matter hypothesis was eventually dismissed as speculative without supporting evidence.

By late 2024, the consensus was that no single factor explained 3I/Atlas’s trajectory anomaly.

Instead, a combination of subtle gravitational perturbations, modest outgassing, radiation pressure, and possible structural changes likely contributed collectively.

This multi-factor model aligns with the complexity of real-world physics, where multiple small effects add up to produce measurable outcomes.

The perihelion passage on December 19, 2024, was a crucial observational milestone.

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Astronomers expected increased activity—stronger outgassing, brightness surges, or fragmentation—due to solar heating.

Instead, 3I/Atlas remained relatively subdued, with only gentle brightness variations and faint spectral signatures.

The trajectory deviation persisted but showed no dramatic changes.

This outcome supported hypotheses involving subtle and complex interplay of forces rather than any single dramatic event.

Looking ahead, the imminent operation of the Vera Rubin Observatory promised a revolution in detecting interstellar objects.

3I/Atlas Has Finally Arrived Today

Instead of rare, isolated sightings, astronomers anticipated dozens of visitors annually, enabling statistical studies and better characterization of typical behaviors.

3I/Atlas serves as a valuable case study, revealing the challenges in interpreting sparse data and the need for refined models and observation strategies.

In the grand scheme, 3I/Atlas’s enigmatic journey highlights the limits of current understanding and the patient, iterative nature of scientific inquiry.

3I/ATLAS's trajectory through our Solar System | The Planetary Society

It underscores how even small anomalies can open windows into new physics, the diversity of cosmic bodies, and the processes shaping them.

As 3I/Atlas recedes into interstellar space, its legacy endures—not as a solved mystery, but as a catalyst for deeper exploration and curiosity about the universe beyond.